well I did notice that lbj had the “vig dies” case wrong in his game solve post. it should’ve said 3 conf - 3 unknown instead of 4 conf - 2 unknown after the vig died. I didn’t want to point it out at the time, because if I did so, and we went through with the gamesolve, if I pointed it out in public, the mafia would kill the vig 100% and fuck things up
Isnt the 4 conf -2 unknown due to cop being alive
you see i had a 4-2 too
oh wait it should be 4-2 not 3-3. i forgot about the cop night ability in the case that the vig dies
more accurately the +1-1 should go under the DAY rather than night because that info only becomes available at day.
well everyone has spoken since lbj made the gamesolve post and the cop hasn’t claimed. the only explanation for this is that the cop just doesn’t have enough information yet and had too many unlucky ability wastes on dead people or yns
in that case I think we just play normal
[IGNORE THIS]
thats not the only explanation
is this the absolute worst case scenario or will this happen fairly often (assuming cop can clear 2 people right now)?
I didnt check the chances of that yet, I was interested in finding the scenario where +2 confirmed is not a win
But it shows that +2 is not enough it needs to be +2 and 1 mafia
funny how the cop hitting mafia can actually decrease the odds of winning in an ironic twist
Heres the vigi living through 1 night chain just for completion
If vigi lives, cop dies
3 confirm 3 suspect
day
lynch -1 suspect
3 confirm, 2 suspect
night
vigi shoots, -1 suspect
vigi dies, -1 confirm
2confirm 1suspect
town wins, therefore vigi must die
what are the others
The others are more interesting, i will tell after you confirm my logic
do you still scumread flopagis?
yes nothing changed
Okay I’m shooting Jones
Jones over here acting all big brained gonna get shot