Donner Party Day 3

Faz said Bazinga was 100% scum too.

also im gonna be brutally honest and say since you're so opaque and cagey about making reads i have no idea how you would read the game and that doesnt help me get motivated to actually thunderdome because i don't know if my words actually do anything they intend

@faZ this is why you shouldnt say 99.99% scum youve undermined yourself

faz was just tunneling bazinga for playstyle shit and i fucking called it out

see theres a fundamental problem of f3 thunderdome in a vacuum and its that everything i say could be wifom

i could honestly say here "most experienced players still have much better accuracy on high confidence townreads than scumreads" but you dont necessarily have any reason to believe that because i could be making it up as scum

the proper way for you to evaluate a thunderdome between me and lbj would be to just backread d1 and d2 and try to figure out which one of us is townier and which one has better interactoins with flipped scum jdance/osiris but idk your capablity of doing that

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if there's 2 scum left there's 2 possibilities

  1. epok is SK, in which case he'll survive and hopefully lose tomorrow
  2. epok is goon, in which case he'll die, he'll also kill another player which autowins the game for SK before the day starts (1-1)

or

  1. epok is cop and did this to find the second scum (with a red check) or a scum with a green check behind. which is probably the worst play ever especially if you go afk after doing it

and this is still premature anyway sdad could easily end the game

so he's goon and figured he'd need to lynch the SK today to stand a chance, which is why it makes sense to not just greenclear another player (would put yourself in a tough spot even if you found the SK by poe)

How so? If there are two scum alive he could give up and the other scum could still win.

that post refers to believing lbj is town, sdad is sk, and scsf was Osiris's partner

like I don't want to bother thunderdoming lbj until he's confirmed scum in my eyes and that would require sdad flipping sk into epok flipping dietician

btw if epok is goon which is 99% the case, the SK is alive as well

I don’t think it’s a good thing to give scum more info going into tomorrow when they have a night action to use

lbj do you agree that if your most probable world is just sdad SK it's still mechanically optimal to flip epok first?

the only way SK doesn't outright win is that if epok nokills tonight

You're grasping at straws now.

no i'm just stating facts

SK 100% has his 1-shot up based on 2 nightkills happening every night and we have 100% confirmed where vigi placed his shots, goon cant kill the SK, goon loses if he doesn't lynch the SK today, if goon kills non-sk tomorrow we'll wake up to a 1-1 between SK and town

tenor

Again in case anyone missed it.